How the math works
- Annual kWh to cover = monthly kWh × 12 × the share of usage you want to offset.
- Yield per installed kW = peak sun hours × (1 − losses) × 365.
- System size in kW = annual kWh ÷ yield per kW.
- Panels = system size × 1,000 ÷ panel watts, rounded up to a whole panel; production and cost are then recalculated from the whole-panel size.
- Cost = system watts × price per watt. The cost table shows $2.50, your price and $3.50 per watt.
With the defaults (899 kWh a month, 4.5 sun hours, 14% losses, 400 W panels) this gives about 20 panels and 8 kW, which lines up with EnergySage's figure of 11,614 kWh a year for an 8 kW system quoted in our how many solar panels guide.
What this calculator assumes
- Peak sun hours are an estimate. The default of 4.5 is the middle of a rough 3.5 to 5.5 range for much of the US. Your roof's tilt, direction and shade matter, and a tool such as NREL's PVWatts gives a location-specific number.
- Losses are an estimate. We use 14% as a round planning figure, not a measurement of your system. Panels also degrade slowly over time, which this one-year estimate ignores.
- Price per watt. $2.60 is EnergySage's national average (June 30, 2026), before incentives. State averages in the same data run from $2.12 to $2.90, and any real quote will differ.
- Usage. The 899 kWh default is the EIA's 2022 average per residential customer. Use 12 months of your own bills, and add load if you plan an EV or heat pump.
- Not modeled. Net metering rules, export rates, batteries, roof replacement, panel upgrades, financing, and the payback period.
Keep going
Read how many solar panels to power a house, solar panel installation cost and solar system cost by size for sources and price context. When you have a size and a quote, the solar panel payback calculator estimates how long it takes to pay for itself, and payback by state shows the local picture. To see what your usage costs today, use the electric bill estimator.